Artificial intelligence-based early detection of acute kidney injury after cardiac surgery
Jurij Matija Kališnik, André Bauer, Ferdinand Vogt, Franziska Josephine Stickl, Janez Žibert, Matthias Fittkau, Thomas Bertsch, Samuel Kounev, Theodor Fischlein
Abstract
OBJECTIVES: This study aims to improve the early detection of cardiac surgery-associated acute kidney injury using artificial intelligence-based algorithms. METHODS: Data from consecutive patients undergoing cardiac surgery between 2008 and 2018 in our institution served as the source for artificial intelligence-based modelling. Cardiac surgery-associated acute kidney injury was defined according to the Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes criteria. Different machine learning algorithms were trained and validated to detect cardiac surgery-associated acute kidney injury within 12 h after surgery. Demographic characteristics, comorbidities, preoperative cardiac status and intra- and postoperative variables including creatinine and haemoglobin values were retrieved for analysis. RESULTS: From 7507 patients analysed, 1699 patients (22.6%) developed cardiac surgery-associated acute kidney injury. The ultimate detection model, 'Detect-A(K)I', recognizes cardiac surgery-associated acute kidney injury within 12 h with an area under the curve of 88.0%, sensitivity of 78.0%, specificity of 78.9% and accuracy of 82.1%. The optimal parameter set includes serial changes of creatinine and haemoglobin, operative emergency, bleeding-associated variables, cardiac ischaemic time and cardiac function-associated variables, age, diuretics and active infection, chronic obstructive lung and peripheral vascular disease. CONCLUSIONS: The 'Detect-A(K)I' model successfully detects cardiac surgery-associated acute kidney injury within 12 h after surgery with the best discriminatory characteristics reported so far.