The risk of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant emergence in low and middle-income countries (LMICs)
Kaiming Bi, José Luís Herrera, Yuan Bai, Zhanwei Du, Lin Wang, Graham Casey Gibson, Maureen Johnson-León, Spencer J. Fox, Lauren Ancel Meyers
Abstract
We estimated the probability of undetected emergence of the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant in 25 low and middle-income countries (LMICs) prior to December 5, 2021. In nine countries, the risk exceeds 50 %; in Turkey, Pakistan and the Philippines, it exceeds 99 %. Risks are generally lower in the Americas than Europe or Asia.
Topics & Concepts
Low and middle income countriesCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)2019-20 coronavirus outbreakPandemicGeographyEnvironmental healthDeveloping countrySocioeconomicsMedicineVirologyEconomic growthOutbreakDiseaseEconomicsInfectious disease (medical specialty)PathologySARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 ResearchCOVID-19 epidemiological studiesCOVID-19 Clinical Research Studies