The Double Layer Sign Is Highly Predictive of Progression to Exudation in Age-Related Macular Degeneration
Lajos Csincsik, K. A. Muldrew, Alessandra Bettiol, David M. Wright, Philip J. Rosenfeld, Nadia K. Waheed, Theo Empeslidis, Eduard De Cock, Taffeta Ching Ning Yamaguchi, Ruth Hogg, Tünde Pető, Usha Chakravarthy
Abstract
PURPOSE: The presences of a double layer sign (DLS) and a shallow irregular retinal pigment epithelium (RPE) elevation (SIRE) were investigated using spectral domain-OCT (SD-OCT) imaging to determine their ability to predict progression to exudative macular neovascularization (eMNV) in the unaffected fellow eyes (study eye) of participants with age-related macular degeneration (AMD) with newly diagnosed unilateral eMNV. DESIGN: Retrospective, reanalysis of SD-OCT scans of study eyes from the Early Detection of Neovascular AMD (EDNA) study with 3 years follow-up (FU). PARTICIPANTS: The EDNA study repository of SD-OCT scans was assessed for inclusion. Cases with incomplete data sets, low quality scans, or exhibiting other pathology were excluded, which resulted in 459 eligible cases. METHODS: Spectral domain-OCT volume scans of study eyes were graded for irregular elevation of the RPE (IE), with length, and height measurements made on the most affected B-scan. Eyes with heterogeneous reflectivity within the IE were classified as exhibiting the DLS. Eyes with DLS where the length of separation between RPE and Bruch's membrane was ≥ 1000 μm in length and < 100 μm in height were subclassified as SIRE. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Hazard of progression to eMNV for DLS and SIRE. RESULTS: Of the 459 eyes, 268 had IE, of which 101 were DLS-like and 51 also fulfilled criteria for SIRE. Over the 3 years FU period, 104 (23%) eyes progressed to eMNV. After an FU of 18 months, a significantly higher proportion of study eyes (P < 0.001) with IE, DLS, and SIRE developed eMNV compared with those without these features (IE: 17% vs. no IE 6.3%; DLS: 23% vs. no DLS 9.9%; SIRE: 22% vs. no SIRE 11%). In the adjusted Cox regression models, a significantly greater hazard of progression (P < 0.001) was associated with the presence of IE (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 3.01; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.88-4.82), DLS (adjusted HR, 3.41; 95% CI, 2.26-5.14), or SIRE (adjusted HR, 2.83; 95% CI, 1.68-4.75). CONCLUSION: The DLS is a highly sensitive predictor of progression to eMNV, and the use of SIRE does not improve predictability. FINANCIAL DISCLOSURE(S): Proprietary or commercial disclosure may be found in the Footnotes and Disclosures at the end of this article.