Food stability model: A framework to support decision‐making in a context of climate change
João Marcelo Pereira Ribeiro, Issa Ibrahim Berchin, Samara da Silva Neiva, Thiago Coelho Soares, Celso Lopes de Albuquerque, André Borchardt Deggau, Wellyngton Silva de Amorim, Samuel Borges Barbosa, Leonardo Secchi, José Baltazar Salgueirinho Osório de Andrade Guerra
Abstract
Abstract Global environmental changes coupled with socioeconomic changes are major challenges to food security. Changes in climate affect most food crops, particularly in countries that rely on agriculture for subsistence. The article proposes a model to analyze food stability in the context of climate change. Genetic improvement, agrobiodiversity, sustainable intensification, climate monitoring, and market monitoring were considered key perspectives for the balanced scorecard to achieve stability in food production. The set of perspectives and indicators were validated by 185 experts, which supported the creation of a balanced scorecard map to assist decision‐making. Therefore, the model could serve as an addition to FAO's approach to food security, driving actions related to global food policy. This research can also assist governmental policies to mitigate the effects of climate change on food stability around the world.