Observed Evidence for Steep Rise in the Extreme Flow of Western Himalayan Rivers
Divyansh Chug, Amey Pathak, J. Indu, Sharad K. Jain, Sanjay K. Jain, A. P. Dimri, Dev Niyogi, Subimal Ghosh
Abstract
Abstract We present the first observational evidence of changing patterns of extreme streamflows at multiple locations across Western Himalayan (WH) rivers. We find that the frequency of extreme flow events during the period 1980–2003 has doubled with a statistically significant increasing trend in annual maximum streamflow. We postulate that this streamflow change is due to the increased precipitation extremes occurring during both the summer monsoon and the winter seasons. We further found a stepwise increase of “chi‐gradient” in Bhagirathi and Sutlej Rivers, indicative of a landscape that facilitates rapid flow of water generating severe floods downstream. Our results highlight the severity of hydroclimatic changes underway in the WH region and the critical need for a hydro‐infrastructure for flood forecasting to benefit more than 17 million inhabitants and for ecosystem services to mitigate increasing flood hazards.