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Mathematical analysis of COVID-19 by using SIR model with convex incidence rate

Rahim Ud Din, Ebrahem A. Algehyne

2021Results in Physics85 citationsDOIOpen Access PDF

Abstract

This paper is about a new COVID-19 SIR model containing three classes; Susceptible S(t), Infected I(t), and Recovered R(t) with the Convex incidence rate. Firstly, we present the subject model in the form of differential equations. Secondly, “the disease-free and endemic equilibrium” is calculated for the model. Also, the basic reproduction number R0 is derived for the model. Furthermore, the Global Stability is calculated using the Lyapunov Function construction, while the Local Stability is determined using the Jacobian matrix. The numerical simulation is calculated using the Non-Standard Finite Difference (NFDS) scheme. In the numerical simulation, we prove our model using the data from Pakistan. “Simulation” means how S(t), I(t), and R(t) protection, exposure, and death rates affect people with the elapse of time.

Topics & Concepts

Epidemic modelJacobian matrix and determinantStability (learning theory)Applied mathematicsMathematicsLyapunov functionIncidence (geometry)Basic reproduction numberRegular polygonMathematical analysisPhysicsComputer scienceGeometryPopulationDemographyNonlinear systemSociologyMachine learningQuantum mechanicsCOVID-19 epidemiological studiesSARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 ResearchMathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
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