Mechanistically derived patient-level framework for precision medicine identifies a personalized immune prognostic signature in high-grade serous ovarian cancer
Hengqiang Zhao, Shanshan Gu, Siqi Bao, Congcong Yan, Zicheng Zhang, Ping Hou, Meng Zhou, Jie Sun
Abstract
An accurate prognosis assessment for cancer patients could aid in guiding clinical decision-making. Reliance on traditional clinical features alone in a complex clinical environment is challenging and unsatisfactory in the era of precision medicine; thus, reliable prognostic biomarkers are urgently required to improve a patient staging system. In this study, we proposed a patient-level computational framework from mechanistic and translational perspectives to establish a personalized prognostic signature (named PLPPS) in high-grade serous ovarian carcinoma (HGSOC). The PLPPS composed of 68 immune genes achieved accurate prognostic risk stratification for 1190 patients in the meta-training cohort and was rigorously validated in multiple cross-platform independent cohorts comprising 792 HGSOC patients. Furthermore, the PLPPS was shown to be the better prognostic factor compared with clinical parameters in the univariate analysis and retained a significant independent association with prognosis after adjusting for clinical parameters in the multivariate analysis. In benchmark comparisons, the performance of PLPPS (hazard ratio (HR), 1.371; concordance index (C-index), 0.604 and area under the curve (AUC), 0.637) is comparable to or better than other published gene signatures (HR, 0.972 to 1.340; C-index, 0.495 to 0.592 and AUC, 0.48-0.624). With further validation in prospective clinical trials, we hope that the PLPPS might become a promising genomic tool to guide personalized management and decision-making of HGSOC in clinical practice.