Longitudinal liquid biopsy predicts clinical benefit from immunotherapy in advanced non-small cell lung cancer
Andrea Boscolo Bragadin, Paola Del Bianco, Elisabetta Zulato, Ilaria Attili, Alberto Pavan, Jessica Carlet, Ludovica Marra, Valentina Guarneri, Stefano Indraccolo, Laura Bonanno
Abstract
High heterogeneity in clinical benefit characterizes the use of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). We prospectively enrolled 113 advanced NSCLC patients treated with ICIs and performed liquid biopsy at the time of ICI start (T1), after 3 weeks (T2) and at the time of radiological evaluation (T3). Molecular variables were associated with outcome endpoints: cfDNA quantification, its dynamic change (∆T2-T1), variant allele frequency (VAF) of the gene with the highest frequency detected at baseline with NGS (maxVAF) and its dynamic change (∆T2-T1). At multivariate analysis, PD-L1 negativity, T1 cfDNA, cfDNA increase (∆T2-T1), and T2 VAF were significantly associated with shorter progression-free survival (PFS); PD-L1 negativity, squamous histology, T1 cfDNA, cfDNA (∆T2-T1) increase, and T2 maxVAF affected overall survival (OS). Among high PD-L1 expressing patients treated in first-line, elevated T2 maxVAF and cfDNA increase (∆T2-T1) correlated with worse PFS; higher T2 maxVAF and cfDNA increase (∆T2-T1) with worse OS. Derived integrated models were used to build nomograms and categorize different risk groups.