Clinical efficacy of convalescent plasma therapy on treating COVID‐19 patients: Evidence from matched study and a meta‐analysis

Abstract

Dear Editor, Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has infected tens of millions of people worldwide since its pandemic.1 No specific therapeutic agents or vaccines for COVID-19 are available. Convalescent plasma refers to plasma separated from an individual after the infection has subsided and the antibody has developed.2-5 Convalescent plasma therapy (CPT), a classic adaptive immunotherapy, has been successfully used for the prevention and treatment of many infectious diseases for more than one century. Over the past two decades, it was successfully used in the treatment of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) in 2003, H1N1 influenza pandemic in 2009, and Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS) from 2012 to 2017 with satisfactory efficacy and safety. CPT is one of the promising treatment methods and is favored by more and more researchers.2-10 However, the clinical efficacy and safety of CPT in COVID-19 remains unclear. We performed a retrospective observational study by propensity score matching analysis (PSM) and meta-analysis estimates the clinical efficacy and security of CPT and COVID-19, which will help inform clinical management of COVID-19 infection. A total of 326 participants (163 cases group with CPT and 163 matched controls group with the standard treatment) diagnosed as COVID-19 were included in the clinical study, of which 142 patients (43.56%) were male. The mean age for all patients was 64.07 ± 13.37 years, and the majority (65.64%) of them was more than 60 years old. Of all patients, 79 (48.47%) cases and 77 (47.24%) controls had a history of basic diseases, including hyperlipidemia, diabetes mellitus, coronary heart disease, and tumor. Interestingly, we found that days of hospital stay in case with CPT groups were significantly higher than matched control group (P < 0.0001). Possible explanation is that most of patients in the CPT treatment group condition are relatively serious and nucleic acid test repeated positive. In addition, we also found the rate of male in case with CPT groups were significantly higher than matched control group (P < 0.0001). However, no significant differences in age, disease severity, discharge condition, basic disease, and the number in the ICU between case with CPT groups and matched control group were found. The demographic and clinical characteristics of all patients are show in Table S1. We performed a meta-analysis of 12 observational studies (1019 cases and 954 controls) that a significant reduction in mortality (odds ratio [OR] = 0.66, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.50-0.86, P = 0.002) was found in the CPT group compared with the standard treatment group, and a true positive result was also found in trial sequential analysis (TSA). Our analyses also suggest that CPT may have a clinically relevant impact in reducing the rate of mortality in COVID-19 (4.91% vs. 9.20%). In subgroup analysis, we revealed significant associations within the Caucasian subgroup (OR = 0.71, 95% CI = 0.52-0.98, P = 0.037), matched study subgroup (OR = 0.49, 95% CI = 0.32-0.77, P = 0.002), severe subgroup (OR = 0.63, 95% CI = 0.40-1.00, P = 0.049), critical subgroup (OR = 0.24, 95% CI = 0.06-0.92, P = 0.037), severity of MIX subgroup (OR = 0.53, 95% CI = 0.33-0.86, P = 0.010), dose of 250-300 subgroup (OR = 0.41, 95% CI = 0.22-0.77, P = 0.006), no specific dose subgroup (OR = 0.24, 95% CI = 0.06-0.92, P = 0.037), journal of unpublished subgroup (OR = 0.42, 95% CI = 0.26-0.68, P = 0.000), and case size of <50 subgroup (OR = 0.37, 95% CI = 0.21-0.65, P = 0.001), but not the remaining subgroups. In addition, an edge effect may exist in the race of MIX subgroup. Specific data are summarized in Figure 1, Table 1, Figure S1, and Table S2. We found no evidence of serious adverse events or complications due to CPT, but four participants reported slight transfusion-related adverse events (clinical symptoms include red, itchy, and inflamed skin) following CPT. TSA found a false positive, although our pooled meta-analysis found a significant increase in the incidence of adverse events in patients treated with CPT compared to the control group (OR = 2.63, 95% CI = 1.40-4.94, P = 0.003). In subgroup analysis, we revealed significant associations with in the Caucasian subgroup (OR = 2.40, 95% CI = 1.21-4.79, P = 0.013), RCT subgroup (OR = 2.42 95% CI = 1.19-4.91, P = 0.014), severe subgroup (OR = 3.88, 95% CI = 1.24-12.12, P = 0.019), journal of published subgroup (OR = 3.43, 95% CI = 1.23-9.57, P = 0.018), and case size of >50 subgroup (OR = 4.51, 95% CI = 1.58-12.88, P = 0.005), but not the remaining subgroups. In addition, we also found an edge effect in the Asian subgroup, matched study, dose of 200 subgroup, dose of 400 subgroup, and unpublished subgroup. Data on the association between CPT and adverse event risk are summarized in Figure 2, Table 1, Figure S1, and Table S2. No differences between the two groups in terms of hospital stay, improvement of clinical symptoms, and discharge were found (Figures S2-S5 and Tables S3-S5). Begg's funnel plot and Egger's test were performed to assess publication bias. We additionally conducted sensitivity analyses by omitting one study at a time in the calculation of a summary outcome. Although the sample sizes for cases and controls in all eligible studies varied, corresponding pooled ORs, SMD, and 95%CIs were not qualitatively altered with or without studies on small samples. No other single study influenced pooled OR, SMD, and 95% CI qualitatively. John Mair-Jenkins et al10 analyzed 32 studies of CPT and SARS coronavirus infection. They revealed consistent evidence for a statistically significant reduction in mortality (OR = 0.25; 95% CI = 0.14-0.45), especially when convalescent plasma is administered early after symptom onset. However, Li et al,4 Agarwal et al7, and Simonovich et al reported that CPT was not associated with a reduction in progression to severe COVID-19 or all-cause mortality. Our analyses and pooled meta-analysis suggest that CPT significantly decreased the mortality in COVID-19 patients. To the best of our knowledge, it is a systematically review and meta-analysis of the efficacy and security of CPT to COVID-19 patients in the largest sample size. We found that CPT significantly decreased the rate of mortality in COVID-19 patients in our matched control study and meta-analysis. Our results showed that CPT could significantly reduce the mortality in COVID-19 patients, and there was no significant increase the incidence of adverse events. These data provide evidence favoring the efficacy and safety of CPT as a therapeutic agent in COVID-19 patients and provide comprehensive reference for COVID-19 treatment. We additionally appreciate the valuable comments from other members of our laboratory. This work was supported by Scientific Research Project of Jiangsu Commission of Health (H2019065), Key Foundation of Wuhan Huoshenshan Hospital (2020[18]), Key Research & Development Program of Jiangsu Province (BE2018713), and Medical Innovation Project of Logistics Service (18JS005). The authors declare that there is no conflict of interest. WJJ, XYX, and WWL conceived and designed the experiments. WJJ, QYW, and JW performed publication searches and selection. WJJ, LX, and BSH analyzed the data. JWS, YY, YH, and RRP prepared the figures. WD, TL, PRZ, and YJG contributed materials/analysis tools. WJJ wrote and revised the paper. All authors reviewed the manuscript. 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