Modeling strict age-targeted mitigation strategies for COVID-19
Maria Chikina, Wesley Pegden
Abstract
We use a simple SIR-like epidemic model integrating known age-contact patterns for the United States to model the effect of age-targeted mitigation strategies for a COVID-19-like epidemic. We find that, among strategies which end with population immunity, strict age-targeted mitigation strategies have the potential to greatly reduce mortalities and ICU utilization for natural parameter choices.
Topics & Concepts
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)2019-20 coronavirus outbreakSevere acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)PopulationEpidemic modelMedicineEnvironmental healthVirologyDiseaseInfectious disease (medical specialty)OutbreakPathologyCOVID-19 epidemiological studiesInfluenza Virus Research StudiesCOVID-19 Pandemic Impacts