Joint Modeling of Clinical and Biomarker Data in Acute Kidney Injury Defines Unique Subphenotypes with Differing Outcomes
George Vasquez‐Rios, Won-Suk Oh, Samuel Lee, Pavan K. Bhatraju, Sherry G. Mansour, Dennis G. Moledina, Faris F. Gulamali, Edward D. Siew, Amit X. Garg, Pinaki Sarder, Vernon M. Chinchilli, James S. Kaufman, Chi‐yuan Hsu, Kathleen D. Liu, Paul L. Kimmel, Alan S. Go, Mark M. Wurfel, Jonathan Himmelfarb, Chirag R. Parikh, Steven G. Coca, Girish N. Nadkarni
Abstract
BACKGROUND: AKI is a heterogeneous syndrome. Current subphenotyping approaches have only used limited laboratory data to understand a much more complex condition. METHODS: We focused on patients with AKI from the Assessment, Serial Evaluation, and Subsequent Sequelae in AKI (ASSESS-AKI). We used hierarchical clustering with Ward linkage on biomarkers of inflammation, injury, and repair/health. We then evaluated clinical differences between subphenotypes and examined their associations with cardiorenal events and death using Cox proportional hazard models. RESULTS: We included 748 patients with AKI: 543 (73%) of them had AKI stage 1, 112 (15%) had AKI stage 2, and 93 (12%) had AKI stage 3. The mean age (±SD) was 64 (13) years; 508 (68%) were men; and the median follow-up was 4.7 (Q1: 2.9, Q3: 5.7) years. Patients with AKI subphenotype 1 ( N =181) had the highest kidney injury molecule (KIM-1) and troponin T levels. Subphenotype 2 ( N =250) had the highest levels of uromodulin. AKI subphenotype 3 ( N =159) comprised patients with markedly high pro-brain natriuretic peptide and plasma tumor necrosis factor receptor-1 and -2 and low concentrations of KIM-1 and neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin. Finally, patients with subphenotype 4 ( N =158) predominantly had sepsis-AKI and the highest levels of vascular/kidney inflammation (YKL-40, MCP-1) and injury (neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin, KIM-1). AKI subphenotypes 3 and 4 were independently associated with a higher risk of death compared with subphenotype 2 and had adjusted hazard ratios of 2.9 (95% confidence interval, 1.8 to 4.6) and 1.6 (95% confidence interval, 1.01 to 2.6, P = 0.04), respectively. Subphenotype 3 was also independently associated with a three-fold risk of CKD and cardiovascular events. CONCLUSIONS: We discovered four AKI subphenotypes with differing clinical features and biomarker profiles that are associated with longitudinal clinical outcomes.