Making sense of missense: challenges and opportunities in variant pathogenicity prediction
Ivan Molotkov, Elaine R. Mardis, Mykyta Artomov
Abstract
Computational tools for predicting variant pathogenicity are widely used to support clinical variant interpretation. Recently, several models, which do not rely on known variant classifications during training, have been developed. These approaches can potentially overcome biases of current clinical databases, such as misclassifications, and can potentially better generalize to novel, unclassified variants. AlphaMissense is one such model, built on the highly successful protein structure prediction model, AlphaFold. AlphaMissense has shown great performance in benchmarks of functional and clinical data, outperforming many supervised models that were trained on similar data. However, like other in silico predictors, AlphaMissense has notable limitations. As a large deep learning model, it lacks interpretability, does not assess the functional impact of variants, and provides pathogenicity scores that are not disease specific. Improving interpretability and precision in computational tools for variant interpretation remains a promising area for advancing clinical genetics.