A Monte Carlo simulation and sensitivity analysis framework demonstrating the advantages of probabilistic forecasting over deterministic forecasting in terms of flood warning reliability
Luis-Felipe Duque, Enda O’Connell, Greg O’Donnell
Topics & Concepts
Probabilistic logicProbabilistic forecastingReliability (semiconductor)Computer scienceMonte Carlo methodFlood mythWarning systemSensitivity (control systems)Variance (accounting)Reliability engineeringStatisticsMathematicsEngineeringArtificial intelligencePower (physics)EconomicsQuantum mechanicsPhysicsTelecommunicationsPhilosophyElectronic engineeringAccountingTheologyFlood Risk Assessment and ManagementMeteorological Phenomena and SimulationsHydrology and Drought Analysis