Dynamic Threat Assessment of Air multi-target Based on DBN-TOPSIS Method
Hua Gong, Xiaoye Yu, Yong Zhang, Fang Liu
Abstract
In the traditional air target threat assessment, only quantitative threat degree is considered, and the target threat range assessment is missing. Aiming at the problem, a comprehensive dynamic threat assessment method is designed in this paper. This comprehensive method considers two terms of the target threat: threat degree and threat range. In terms of threat degree assessment, a dynamic Bayesian network (DBN) and a technique for order preference by similarity to an ideal solution (TOPSIS) are fused. The multi-target fusion assessment method DBN-TOPSIS is proposed. This method maps the probability of multi-target threat level obtained by dynamic Bayesian network to TOPSIS evaluation matrix. This strategy solves the problem of multi-target threat ranking. In terms of threat range assessment, a grey prediction threat range assessment method GM(1,1) is obtained. This method solves the problem of small sample threat range assessment. The experimental results show that the multi-target fusion threat assessment method is reasonable, and the target threat range can directly reflect the change of target threat degree in airspace.