Simulations and fractional modeling of dengue transmission in Bangladesh
Saima Akter, Zhen Jin
Abstract
Dengue is one of the most infectious diseases in the world. In Bangladesh, dengue occurs nationally and has been endemic for more than a decade. Therefore, it is crucial that we model dengue transmission in order to better understand how the illness behaves. This paper presents and analyzes a novel fractional model for the dengue transmission utilizing the non-integer Caputo derivative (CD) and are analysed using q-homotopy analysis transform method (q-HATM). By using the next generation method, we derive the fundamental reproduction number $ R_0 $ and show the findings based on it. The global stability of the endemic equilibrium (EE) and the disease-free equilibrium (DFE) is calculated using the Lyapunov function. For the proposed fractional model, numerical simulations and dynamical attitude are seen. Moreover, A sensitivity analysis of the model is performed to determine the relative importance of the model parameters to the transmission.