Gestational weight gain and risk of adverse maternal and neonatal outcomes in observational data from 1.6 million women: systematic review and meta-analysis
Rebecca F. Goldstein, Mahnaz Bahri Khomami, Chau Thien Tay, Parneet Sethi, J. Liew, Lisa Moran, Cheryce L. Harrison, Anjana Reddy, Sarah Lang, Bonnie R Brammall, Sanjeeva Ranasinha, Monica C Flores-Urrutia, Cinthya Muñoz‐Manrique, Miluska Orbegoso Silva, Elaine Borghi, Suzanne Phelan, Helena Teede, Aya Mousa
Abstract
Abstract Objective To synthesise evidence from contemporary populations (2009-24) across diverse world regions and income settings on associations between gestational weight gain (GWG) and broad clinical outcomes, to inform updated, globally relevant GWG standards. Design Systematic review and meta-analysis. Setting Observational studies in all languages, with >300 participants, reporting pregnancy outcomes stratified by body mass index (BMI) and GWG. Participants Women aged >18 years with singleton pregnancies. Main outcome measures Birth weight and rates of caesarean delivery, hypertensive disorders of pregnancy, preterm birth, small/large for gestational age infant, low birth weight, macrosomia, neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) admission, respiratory distress, hyperbilirubinaemia, and gestational diabetes. Results Of 16 030 studies, 40 met inclusion criteria (n=1 608 711); 6% (n=65 114) of women had underweight, 53% (n=607 258) had normal weight, 19% (n=215 183) had overweight, and 22% (n=252 970) had obesity. GWG was below or above Institute of Medicine (IOM) or study specific recommendations in 23% and 45%, respectively. Using World Health Organization BMI criteria, GWG below IOM recommendations was associated with lower birth weight (mean difference −184.54, 95% confidence interval −278.03 to −91.06); lower risk of caesarean delivery (odds ratio 0.90, 0.84 to 0.97), large for gestational age infant (0.67, 0.61 to 0.74), and macrosomia (0.68, 0.58 to 0.80); and higher risk of preterm birth (1.63, 1.33 to 1.90), small for gestational age infant (1.49, 1.37 to 1.61), low birth weight (1.78, 1.48 to 2.13), and respiratory distress (1.29, 1.01 to 1.63). GWG above IOM recommendations was associated with higher birth weight (mean difference 118.33, 53.80 to 182.85); higher risk of caesarean delivery (odds ratio 1.37, 1.30 to 1.44), hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (1.37, 1.28 to 1.48), large for gestational age infant (1.77, 1.62 to 1.94), macrosomia (1.78, 1.60 to 1.99), and NICU admission (1.26, 1.09 to 1.45); and lower risk of preterm birth (0.71, 0.64 to 0.79) and small for gestational age infant (0.69, 0.64 to 0.75). For Asian BMI criteria, GWG below recommendations was associated with higher risk of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (3.58, 1.37 to 9.39) and preterm birth (1.69, 1.25 to 2.30) and lower risk of large for gestational age infant (0.80, 0.72 to 0.89). GWG above recommendations was associated with higher risk of caesarean delivery (1.37, 1.29 to 1.46) and large for gestational age infant (1.76, 1.42 to 2.18) and lower risk of small for gestational age infant (0.62, 0.53 to 0.74) and low birth weight (0.44, 0.31 to 0.6). Conclusions This systematic review captured trends of rising maternal age and BMI from diverse world regions and income settings, with broad outcomes across all BMI groups. GWG outside IOM recommendations was associated with increased risk of adverse outcomes. These findings will help to inform the process of the WHO initiative to optimise globally relevant GWG standards for improved perinatal outcomes across world regions. Study registration PROSPERO CRD42023483168.