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MotionDiffuser: Controllable Multi-Agent Motion Prediction Using Diffusion

Chiyu Max Jiang, Andre Cornman, Cheol‐Ho Park, Benjamin Sapp, Yin Zhou, Dragomir Anguelov

2023120 citationsDOI

Abstract

We present MotionDiffuser, a diffusion based representation for the joint distribution of future trajectories over multiple agents. Such representation has several key advantages: first, our model learns a highly multimodal distribution that captures diverse future outcomes. Second, the simple predictor design requires only a single L2 loss training objective, and does not depend on trajectory anchors. Third, our model is capable of learning the joint distribution for the motion of multiple agents in a permutation-invariant manner. Furthermore, we utilize a compressed trajectory representation via PCA, which improves model performance and allows for efficient computation of the exact sample log probability. Subsequently, we propose a general constrained sampling framework that enables controlled trajectory sampling based on differentiable cost functions. This strategy enables a host of applications such as enforcing rules and physical priors, or creating tailored simulation scenarios. MotionDiffuser can be combined with existing backbone architectures to achieve top motion forecasting results. We obtain state-of-the-art results for multi-agent motion prediction on the Waymo Open Motion Dataset.

Topics & Concepts

Computer scienceTrajectoryDifferentiable functionRepresentation (politics)Prior probabilityArtificial intelligenceComputationMotion (physics)Invariant (physics)Sampling (signal processing)Motion planningMachine learningAlgorithmRobotComputer visionMathematicsBayesian probabilityPolitical scienceMathematical analysisAstronomyLawMathematical physicsPoliticsPhysicsFilter (signal processing)Time Series Analysis and ForecastingAnomaly Detection Techniques and ApplicationsAutonomous Vehicle Technology and Safety