Survival outcomes and rate of missed upper gastrointestinal cancers at routine endoscopy: a single centre retrospective cohort study
Aleksandar Gavrić, Jurij Hanžel, Tina Žagar, Vesna Zadnik, Samo Plut, Borut Štabuc
Abstract
OBJECTIVES: Data on the long-term survival outcome of patients with missed upper gastrointestinal cancers (MUGC) is lacking. Retrospective studies have found no difference in 1- and 2-year survival among patients with missed gastric and oesophageal cancers; we thus aimed to assess 3-year survival of patients with MUGC at oesophagogastroduodenoscopy. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study conducted at a single tertiary endoscopy centre. All oesophagogastroduodenoscopies performed between January 2007 and December 2015 were included in the study. The endoscopy database was cross-matched with the Slovenian Cancer Registry database. Missed cancers were defined as those diagnosed within 36 months after a negative oesophagogastroduodenoscopy. RESULTS: During the study period, 29 617 oesophagogastroduodenoscopies were performed. In total, 422 upper gastrointestinal cancers were diagnosed and the rate of missed gastric cancers was 7.3% (95% CI, 4.9-10.6%) (26/354), and 4.4% (95% CI, 0.9-12.4%) for oesophageal cancers (3/68). Three-year survival of patients with MUGC was shorter than that of those with non-MUGC, being 12% (95% CI, 1-25%) vs. 31% (95% CI, 26-36%) (P = 0.043) for gastric and 0 vs. 9% (95% CI, 1-17%) (P = 0.121) for oesophageal cancer. CONCLUSION: Missed gastric cancer during oesophagogastroduodenoscopy may be associated with shorter 3-year survival compared to patients whose gastric cancer was diagnosed at index oesophagogastroduodenoscopy.