Early risk prediction in idiopathic<i>versus</i>connective tissue disease-associated pulmonary arterial hypertension: call for a refined assessment
Clara Hjalmarsson, Barbro Kjellström, Kjell Jansson, Magnus Nisell, David Kylhammar, Mohammad Kavianipour, Göran Rådegran, Stefan Söderberg, Gerhard Wikström, Dirk M. Wuttge, Roger Hesselstrand
Abstract
Despite systematic screening and improved treatment strategies, the prognosis remains worse in patients with connective tissue disease-associated pulmonary arterial hypertension (CTD-PAH) compared to patients with idiopathic/hereditary pulmonary arterial hypertension (IPAH). We aimed to investigate differences in clinical characteristics, outcome and performance of the European Society of Cardiology (ESC)/ European Respiratory Society (ERS) risk stratification tool in these patient groups. This retrospective analysis included incident patients with CTD-PAH (n=197, of which 64 had interstitial lung disease, ILD) or IPAH (n=305) enrolled in the Swedish PAH Register (SPAHR) 2008-2019. Patients were classified as low, intermediate or high risk at baseline, according to the "SPAHR-equation". One-year survival, stratified by type of PAH, was investigated by Cox proportional regression. At baseline, CTD-PAH patients had lower diffusing capacity for carbon monoxide and lower haemoglobin but, at the same time, lower N-terminal prohormone-brain natriuretic peptide, longer 6 min walk distance, better haemodynamics and more often a low-risk profile. No difference in age, World Health Organisation functional class (WHO-FC) or renal function between groups was found. One-year survival rates were 75, 82 and 83% in patients with CTD-PAH with ILD, CTD-PAH without ILD and IPAH, respectively. The 1-year mortality rates for low-, intermediate- and high-risk groups in the whole cohort were 0, 18 and 34% (p<0.001), respectively. Corresponding percentages for CTD-PAH with ILD, CTD-PAH without ILD and IPAH patients were: 0, 26, 67% (p=0.008); 0, 19, 39% (p=0.004); and 0, 16, 29% (p=0.001), respectively. The ESC/ERS risk assessment tool accurately identified low-risk patients but underestimated the 1-year mortality rate of CTD-PAH and IPAH patients assessed as having intermediate risk at diagnosis.