Renal response at 2 years post biopsy to predict long-term renal survival in lupus nephritis: a retrospective analysis of the Hopkins Lupus Cohort
Selin Cooper Blenkinsopp, Qinggong Fu, Yulia Green, Anuradha Madan, Patricia Juliao, Daniel Goldman, David A. Roth, Michelle Petri
Abstract
Objective This retrospective analysis evaluated the prognostic value of renal response status 2 years after biopsy-proven lupus nephritis (LN) for the prediction of long-term renal outcomes. Methods Eligible patients with SLE as per American College of Rheumatology or Systemic Lupus International Collaborating Clinics criteria and biopsy-proven class III, IV, V or mixed LN were identified from the Hopkins Lupus Cohort, and categorised into binary renal response categories (modified primary efficacy renal response (mPERR) or no mPERR at 2 years post biopsy). These categories were defined by a modified version of the Belimumab International Lupus Nephritis Study (BLISS-LN) protocol using urine protein:creatinine ratio (≤0.7 g/day) and estimated glomerular filtration rate (≥60 mL/min/1.73 m 2 or ≤20% below the baseline value) criteria. Long-term renal survival (defined as survival without end-stage renal disease (ESRD) or death) and chronic renal insufficiency-free survival were assessed in Kaplan–Meier plots with log-rank test and covariate-adjusted Cox proportional hazards models. Results Of the 173 eligible patients, 91.3% were female; the mean (SD) age at biopsy was 36.2 (11.8) years. At 2 years post biopsy, 114 (65.9%) patients achieved mPERR. These patients showed a lower risk of ESRD/death and chronic renal insufficiency in the follow-up period (HR (95% CI) 0.33 (0.13 to 0.87), p=0.0255; and HR (95% CI) 0.26 (0.14 to 0.47), p<0.0001, respectively). Conclusions The 2-year post-biopsy renal response status, defined per 2019-updated BLISS-LN criteria, has prognostic value for long-term renal survival and lower risk of chronic renal insufficiency in patients with LN.