Assessing the Dynamics of Agropastoral farmers’ Adaptive Capacity to Drought in Uganda’s Cattle Corridor
James Mbaziira, Anthony Egeru, Yazidhi Bamutaze, Yeeko Kisira, Martha Nabiroko
Abstract
This paper examines the factors influencing agropastoral farmers’ adaptive capacity dynamics in the cattle corridor of Uganda, and quantified their relative contributions. Data was derived from a household survey of 426 households randomly and purposively selected from the six districts in the cattle corridor. Agropastoral farmers' adaptive capacity was assessed using the Local Adaptive Capacity (LAC) framework and measured using Principal component Analysis (PCA) and Multivariate probit regression model. Overall, the adaptive capacity index was low and dynamic across the cattle corridor sub-regions. The leading indicator components contributing to adaptive capacity were; innovations, asset base, knowledge, and information. These were moderated by socio-ecological factors mainly; gender, level of education, land size, off-farm activities, and membership to savings and loan-based associations which explained the sources of adaptive capacity dynamics to drought. The study findings provide stakeholders with better knowledge of adaptive capacity, its component indicators, and factors at the household level. This provides a basis for addressing climate change-related hazards and designing suitable adaptation strategies. The study suggests an integration and assessment of indicators and factors that enhance adaptive capacity depending on the context under investigation.