Litcius/Paper detail

A short-term hybrid forecasting model for time series electrical-load data using random forest and bidirectional long short-term memory

Zannatul Ferdoush, Booshra Nazifa Mahmud, Amitabha Chakrabarty, Jia Uddin

2020International Journal of Power Electronics and Drive Systems/International Journal of Electrical and Computer Engineering22 citationsDOIOpen Access PDF

Abstract

In the presence of the deregulated electric industry, load forecasting is more demanded than ever to ensure the execution of applications such as energy generation, pricing decisions, resource procurement, and infrastructure development. This paper presents a hybrid machine learning model for short-term load forecasting (STLF) by applying random forest and bidirectional long short-term memory to acquire the benefits of both methods. In the experimental evaluation, we used a Bangladeshi electricity consumption dataset of 36 months. The paper provides a comparative study between the proposed hybrid model and state-of-art models using performance metrics, loss analysis, and prediction plotting. Empirical results demonstrate that the hybrid model shows better performance than the standard long short-term memory and the bidirectional long short-term memory models by exhibiting more accurate forecast results.

Topics & Concepts

Term (time)Computer scienceLong short term memoryProcurementElectricityTime seriesElectrical loadRandom forestArtificial intelligenceMachine learningArtificial neural networkRecurrent neural networkEngineeringQuantum mechanicsBusinessPhysicsVoltageElectrical engineeringMarketingEnergy Load and Power ForecastingGrey System Theory ApplicationsNeural Networks and Applications