Risk factors of falls in elderly patients with visual impairment
Shuyi Ouyang, Chunwen Zheng, Zhanjie Lin, Xiaoni Zhang, Haojun Li, Ying Fang, Yijun Hu, Honghua Yu, Guanrong Wu
Abstract
Objective: To examine the risk factors for falls in elderly patients with visual impairment (VI) and assess the predictive performance of these factors. Methods: telephone interviews. Information of demographics and lifestyle, gait and balance deficits, and ophthalmic and systemic conditions were collected during baseline visits. Forward stepwise multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to identify independent risk factors of falls in elderly patients with VI, and a derived nomogram was constructed. Results: A total of 143 falls were reported in 251 elderly patients during follow-up, with an incidence of 56.97%. The risk factors for falls in elderly patients with VI identified by multivariable logistic regression were women [odds ratio (OR), 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.71, 1.40-5.27], smoking (3.57, 1.34-9.48), outdoor activities/3 months (1.31, 1.08-1.59), waking up frequently during the night (2.08, 1.15-3.79), disorders of balance and gait (2.60, 1.29-5.24), glaucoma (3.12, 1.15-8.44), other retinal degenerations (3.31, 1.16-9.43) and best-corrected visual acuity (BCVA) of the better eye (1.79, 1.10-2.91). A nomogram was developed based on the abovementioned multivariate analysis results. The area under receiver operating characteristic curve of the predictive model was 0.779. Conclusions: Gender, smoking, outdoor activities, waking up at night, disorders of balance and gait, glaucoma, other retinal degeneration and BCVA of the better eye were independent risk factors for falls in elderly patients with VI. The predictive model and derived nomogram achieved a satisfying prediction of fall risk in these individuals.