Wildland fire risk research in Canada
Lynn M. Johnston, Xianli Wang, Sandy Erni, Stephen Taylor, Colin B. McFayden, Jacqueline Oliver, Chris Stockdale, Amy Cardinal Christianson, Yan Boulanger, Sylvie Gauthier, Dominique Arseneault, B. Mike Wotton, Marc‐André Parisien, Mike Flannigan
Abstract
Despite increasing concern about wildland fire risk in Canada, there is little synthesis of knowledge that could contribute to the development of a comprehensive risk framework for a wide range of values, which is an essential need for the country. With dramatic variability in costs and losses from this natural hazard, there must be more support for complex decision-making under the uncertainty of how to assess and manage risk to coexist with wildland fire. A long history of Canadian wildland fire research offers solid foundational knowledge related to risk, but the key knowledge gaps must be addressed to fully consider risk in a comprehensive manner. We provide a review of the current context in which risk is variably defined, and recommend use of the general paradigm where risk is the product of both the likelihood and the potential impacts of wildland fire. We then synthesize research related to wildland fire risk from the Canadian scientific literature. With this review, we aim to provide a better understanding of research challenges, limitations, and opportunities for future work on fire risk within the country.