Next-generation matrices and basic reproductive numbers for all phases of the Coronavirus disease
Gabriel Obed Fosu, Emmanuel Akweittey, Albert Adu-Sackey
Abstract
During the early phase of Covid-19, the transmissibility of the coronavirus disease was estimated using the classical SIR and SEIR models. However, with the advent of some controlling measures in its informative stages, these classical compartmental models have been ameliorated to provide accurate insight of the coronavirus disease. The paper seeks to derive the basic reproductive formulas for these improved models using the matrix approach. These transmissibility equations detail the dynamics of the coronavirus disease for all phases of the pandemic; either the infected population is on lockdown or not; either infectious persons are quarantined or not; either a vaccination program has been rolled out or yet to be rolled out. With the availability of data, any of these transmissibility equations could be adopted to report on the endemicity of the coronavirus disease.