Integrating Real-Time Data and Machine Learning in Predicting Infectious Disease Outbreaks: Enhancing Response Strategies in Sub-Saharan Africa
Olabisi Promise Lawal, Ejikeme Peter Igwe, Adedapo Olosunde, Ezeamii Patra Chisom, Debra Ukamaka Okeh, Adepeju Kafayat Olowookere, Olufemi Adesola Adedayo, Chinwendu F Agu, Fatimah Adeola Mustapha, Favour E Odubo, Enibokun Theresa Orobator
Abstract
The field of infectious disease prediction and public health response is changing due to the integration of real-time data with machine learning (ML). This paper examines how diverse real-time data types — including mobility patterns, social media activity, wearable sensor data, environmental signals, and electronic health records — can be successfully combined with machine learning approaches to enhance early diagnosis, forecast illness trajectories, and optimize intervention options. The potential of key machine learning models, such as reinforcement learning, deep learning, and supervised learning, to improve forecasting accuracy and facilitate dynamic decision-making is investigated. There is a critical discussion of issues such as algorithmic opacity, privacy problems, data inconsistencies, and a lack of standards. The COVID-19 pandemic case study demonstrates how these tools have already aided in resource allocation and policy planning. A forward-looking outlook on developments in data collecting, explainable Artificial Intelligence, and the necessity of global cooperation is presented in the manuscript's conclusion. When taken as a whole, these elements emphasize how crucial it is to combine technology and international collaboration to fortify public health systems and better prepare for future epidemics. This paper examines how diverse real-time data types — including mobility patterns, social media activity, wearable sensor data, environmental signals, and electronic health records — can be successfully combined with machine learning approaches to enhance early diagnosis, forecast illness trajectories, and optimize intervention options.