Customized SEIR Mathematical Model to Predict the trends of Vaccination for Spread of COVID-19
Ala Saleh Alluhaidan, Ramesh Chandra Poonia, P. Prabu, Marwan Saleh Alluhaidan
Abstract
The uncertainty in life plans, restrictions on physical classrooms, loss of jobs, large number of infections and deaths due to COVID-19 are some significant causes of concern for the public as well as Governments all over the globe. Moreover, the exponential increase in the number of infected people in a short time is responsible for the collapse of the health industry during the pandemic caused by COVID-19. The health experts recommended that the quick and early diagnosis followed by treatment of patients in isolation is a way to minimize its spread and save lives. The objective of this research is to propose a customized SEIR model to predict the trends of vaccination in the USA. The experimental results prove that the Moderna vaccine reports the efficacy of 93%, which is higher than the Pfizer and Johnson and Johnson vaccines.