An observation-constrained assessment of the climate sensitivity and future trajectories of wetland methane emissions
Ernest N. Koffi, P. Bergamaschi, Ramdane Alkama, Alessandro Cescatti
Abstract
fluxes and observed temperature and precipitation. Our data-driven model suggests that by 2100, current emissions may increase by 50% to 80%, which is within the range of 50% and 150% reported in previous studies. This finding highlights the importance of limiting global warming below 2°C to avoid substantial climate feedbacks driven by methane emissions from natural wetlands.
Topics & Concepts
Environmental scienceWetlandMethaneMethanogenesisClimate changeGlobal warmingAtmospheric sciencesGreenhouse gasMethane emissionsAtmospheric methanePrecipitationClimate sensitivityClimate modelClimatologyEcologyMeteorologyGeographyGeologyBiologyAtmospheric and Environmental Gas DynamicsPeatlands and Wetlands EcologyClimate variability and models