AlphaFold 2, but not AlphaFold 3, predicts confident but unrealistic β-solenoid structures for repeat proteins
Olivia S. Pratt, Luc Elliott, Margaux Haon, Shahram Mesdaghi, Rebecca M. Price, Adam J. Simpkin, Daniel J. Rigden
Abstract
AlphaFold 2 (AF2) has revolutionised protein structure prediction but, like any new tool, its performance on specific classes of targets, especially those potentially under-represented in its training data, merits attention. Prompted by a highly confident prediction for a biologically meaningless, randomly permuted repeat sequence, we assessed AF2 performance on sequences composed of perfect repeats of random sequences of different lengths. AF2 frequently folds such sequences into β-solenoids which, while ascribed high confidence, contain unusual and implausible features such as internally stacked and uncompensated charged residues. A number of sequences confidently predicted as β-solenoids are predicted by other advanced methods as intrinsically disordered. The instability of some predictions is demonstrated by molecular dynamics. Importantly, other deep learning-based structure prediction tools predict different structures or β-solenoids with much lower confidence suggesting that AF2 alone has an unreasonable tendency to predict confident but unrealistic β-solenoids for perfect repeat sequences. The potential implications for structure prediction of natural (near-)perfect sequence repeat proteins are also explored.