Decision-support tools to build climate resilience against emerging infectious diseases in Europe and beyond
Joacim Rocklöv, Jan C. Semenza, Shouro Dasgupta, Elizabeth Robinson, Ahmed Abd El Wahed, Tilly Alcayna, Cristina Arnés-Sanz, Meghan Bailey, Till Bärnighausen, Frederic Bartumeus, Carme Borrell, Laurens M. Bouwer, Pierre-Antoine Bretonnière, Aditi Bunker, Chloe Chavardes, Kim Robin van Daalen, João Encarnação, Nube González-Reviriego, Junwen Guo, Katie Johnson, Marion Koopmans, María Máñez Costa, Αntonios Michaelakis, Tomás Montalvo, Anna Omazic, John R.B. Palmer, Raman Preet, Marina Romanello, Mohammad Shafiul Alam, Reina S. Sikkema, Marta Terrado, Marina Treskova, Diana Urquiza, Joacim Rocklöv, Junwen Guo, Jan C. Semenza, Raman Preet, Henrik Sjödin, Zia Farooq, Maquins Odhiambo Sewe, Marina Romanello, Frances MacGuire, Αntonios Michaelakis, Evangelia Zavitsanou, Panos Milonas, Dimitrios Papachristos, Marina Bisia, Georgios Balatsos, Spyros Antonatos, Jaime Martínez-Urtaza, Joaquín Triñanes, João Encarnação, Mark Williams, John R.B. Palmer, Berj Dekramanjian, K. Broome, Otis Johnson, Laurens M. Bouwer, María Máñez Costa, Adriana Elba Martín, Lola Kotova, Thea Wübbelmann, Aditi Bunker, Till Bärnighausen, Fiona Walsh, Marina Treskova, Pascale Stiles, Jerome Baron, Charles Hatfield, Julian Heidecke, Pratik Singh, Shouro Dasgupta, Katie Johnson, Francesco Bosello, Elizabeth Robinson, Sara Mehryar, Tilly Alcayna, Meghan Bailey, Marion P.G. Koopmans, Reina S. Sikkema, Pauline de Best, Tijmen Hartung, Ayat Abourashed, Frederic Bartumeus, Jesús Bellver, Catuxa Cerecedo, Rachel Lowe, Martín Lotto Bautista, Bruno Moreira de Carvalho, Chloe Fletcher, Nube González-Reviriego, Marta Terrado, Diana Urquiza, Pierre-Antoine Bretonnière, Julieta Rosenbluth, Marina Corradini, Jaume Ramón, Kim Robin van Daalen, Liam Patrick Brodie, Alba Llabres
Abstract
Climate change is one of several drivers of recurrent outbreaks and geographical range expansion of infectious diseases in Europe. We propose a framework for the co-production of policy-relevant indicators and decision-support tools that track past, present, and future climate-induced disease risks across hazard, exposure, and vulnerability domains at the animal, human, and environmental interface. This entails the co-development of early warning and response systems and tools to assess the costs and benefits of climate change adaptation and mitigation measures across sectors, to increase health system resilience at regional and local levels and reveal novel policy entry points and opportunities. Our approach involves multi-level engagement, innovative methodologies, and novel data streams. We take advantage of intelligence generated locally and empirically to quantify effects in areas experiencing rapid urban transformation and heterogeneous climate-induced disease threats. Our goal is to reduce the knowledge-to-action gap by developing an integrated One Health-Climate Risk framework.