Dynamic model of COVID-19 and citizens reaction using fractional derivative
R. B. Ogunrinde, Ugochukwu Kizito Nwajeri, Sunday Emmanuel Fadugba, Rowland Rotimi Ogunrinde, Kayode Oshinubi
Abstract
This paper presents dynamic model of COVID-19 and citizens reaction from a fraction of the population in Nigeria using fractional derivative. We consider the reported cases from February to June 2020 using fractional derivative. The Stability analysis of the model was carried out and the basic reproduction number was calculated via the next generation matrix. The fractional derivative model was solved numerically and many graphs presented accordingly which could serve as a yard-stick of reducing this menacing virus and policy making.
Topics & Concepts
Fractional calculusDerivative (finance)PopulationApplied mathematicsMathematicsStability (learning theory)Fraction (chemistry)Basic reproduction numberCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)Computer scienceDemographyEconomicsChemistryInfectious disease (medical specialty)DiseaseMachine learningPathologyFinancial economicsOrganic chemistrySociologyMedicineFractional Differential Equations SolutionsMathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology ModelsCOVID-19 epidemiological studies