Is the front passenger seat always the “death seat”? An application of a hierarchical ordered probit model for occupant injury severity
Guocong Zhai, Hongtai Yang, Jun Liu
Abstract
Although many studies have investigated the correlations between injury severities and seat positions, few researchers explored the correlates of injury severities (e.g., seat positions) within a crash that results in multiple occupant injuries. Therefore, we examine the injury correlates within and between crashes, and study the correlations between seat positions and occupant injury severity by constructing a hierarchical ordered probit model. A total of 20,327 occupant injuries in 16,405 motor vehicle crashes in South Australia (2012 - 2016) are used. The results of this study indicate that the rear left passenger seat is associated with a 7.66% higher chance of getting injured (including moderate and severe injury), and the front left passenger seat is associated with a 2.94% higher chance of getting injured compared with the driver seat. Besides, the higher injury chances for other passenger seats including the rear right and rear middle seats are 4.97% and 4.74%, respectively, compared with the driver seat. Thus, this study offers passengers insightful suggestions about how to protect themselves by choosing the right passenger seat in a vehicle.