Simulation Model Of The Urban Population Taking Into Account The Influence Of The Manufacturing Sector Based On Big Data
A A Boyko, А В Кукарцев, Tatiana Dolgova, Konstantin Lobkov, Anna Bagaeva
Abstract
In this article the relation of the level of development of the production sector to the demographic state of the city was revealed. Factors influencing the development of demography in the city and models that need to be built for further research have been identified. All models will be built in the program "PowerSim". The first model of the housing sector was built, which displays all the necessary variables. The constants and variables, which should be introduced to construct a model of population size, have been determined. Considering the built model, it is concluded that with the increase in the number of jobs, the birth rate increases (due to a number of positive factors). A level model of the number of jobs was built to show the links between increasing jobs, increasing the general well-being of the population and increasing the birth rate. The following graphs and tables have been added for illustration of the built-up model: Parameters of population - parameter of "land and housing", drawing "Population" and "Share of builtup land", deflecting corresponding growth of indicators. The output interface of the program is shown at the start of our model , with which the main conclusions are made.