Longitudinal risk of death, hospitalizations for atrial fibrillation, and cardiovascular events following catheter ablation of atrial fibrillation: a cohort study
Linh Ngo, Richard Woodman, R. Denman, Tomos E. Walters, Ian A. Yang, Isuru Ranasinghe
Abstract
AIMS: Population studies reporting contemporary long-term outcomes following catheter ablation of atrial fibrillation (AF) are sparse.We evaluated long-term clinical outcomes following AF ablation and examined variation in outcomes by age, sex, and the presence of heart failure. METHODS AND RESULTS: We identified 30 601 unique patients (mean age 62.7 ± 11.8 years, 30.0% female) undergoing AF ablation from 2008 to 2017 in Australia and New Zealand using nationwide hospitalization data. The primary outcomes were all-cause mortality and rehospitalizations for AF or flutter, repeat AF ablation, and cardioversion. Secondary outcomes were rehospitalizations for other cardiovascular events. During 124 858.7 person-years of follow-up, 1900 patients died (incidence rate 1.5/100 person-years) with a survival probability of 93.0% (95% confidence interval (CI) 92.6-93.4%) by 5 years and 84.0% (95% CI 82.4-85.5%) by 10 years. Rehospitalizations for AF or flutter (13.3/100 person-years), repeat ablation (5.9/100 person-years), and cardioversion (4.5/100 person-years) were common, with respective cumulative incidence of 49.4% (95% CI 48.4-50.4%), 28.1% (95% CI 27.2-29.0%), and 24.4% (95% CI 21.5-27.5%) at 10 years post-ablation. Rehospitalizations for stroke (0.7/100 person-years), heart failure (1.1/100 person-years), acute myocardial infarction (0.4/100 person-years), syncope (0.6/100 person-years), other arrhythmias (2.5/100 person-years), and new cardiac device implantation (2.0/100 person-years) occurred less frequently. Elderly patients and those with comorbid heart failure had worse survival but were less likely to undergo repeat ablation, while long-term outcomes were comparable between the sexes. CONCLUSION: Patients undergoing AF ablations had good long-term survival, a low incidence of rehospitalizations for stroke or heart failure, and about half remained free of rehospitalizations for AF or flutter, including for repeat AF ablation, or cardioversion.