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Effects of social distancing and isolation on epidemic spreading modeled via dynamical density functional theory

Michael te Vrugt, Jens Bickmann, Raphael Wittkowski

2020Nature Communications97 citationsDOIOpen Access PDF

Abstract

For preventing the spread of epidemics such as the coronavirus disease COVID-19, social distancing and the isolation of infected persons are crucial. However, existing reaction-diffusion equations for epidemic spreading are incapable of describing these effects. In this work, we present an extended model for disease spread based on combining a susceptible-infected-recovered model with a dynamical density functional theory where social distancing and isolation of infected persons are explicitly taken into account. We show that the model exhibits interesting transient phase separation associated with a reduction of the number of infections, and allows for new insights into the control of pandemics.

Topics & Concepts

Social distanceIsolation (microbiology)Social isolationCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)Epidemic modelComputer scienceReduction (mathematics)DiseaseSevere acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)Dynamical systems theoryStatistical physicsTransient (computer programming)Distancing2019-20 coronavirus outbreakGeneral theoryVirologyBiologyPhysicsDisease controlPatient isolationPandemicControl (management)MathematicsCOVID-19 epidemiological studiesMathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology ModelsComplex Network Analysis Techniques
Effects of social distancing and isolation on epidemic spreading modeled via dynamical density functional theory | Litcius