The Widely Increasing Sensitivity of Vegetation Productivity to Phenology in Northern Middle and High Latitudes
Longjun Wang, Peng Li, Ying Peng, Peixin Ren, Yuzhu Chen, Xiaolu Zhou, Zicheng Yang, Ziying Zou, Changhui Peng
Abstract
Abstract Although vegetation phenology generally alters productivity, spatiotemporal variations in this effect and its potential drivers remain unclear. We used satellite‐based vegetation phenology and gross primary productivity (GPP) data sets to analyze trends in the sensitivity of spring GPP to spring phenology (spring S GP ) and autumn GPP to autumn phenology (autumn S GP ). We also explored potential drivers across the northern middle and high latitudes (>30°N) from 2001 to 2019. Our analysis revealed significant increases in spring and autumn S GP ( P < 0.05), with pronounced increases in boreal forests and tundra biomes. In contrast, spring S GP significantly declined in deserts and xeric shrublands ( P < 0.05). Spring temperatures and leaf area index (LAI) were key factors influencing spring S GP , while autumn LAI and downward surface solar radiation drove the variation in autumn S GP . Our findings highlight the critical role of phenology‐productivity interactions in achieving carbon goals and the need for future research on climate feedback mechanisms.