A mathematical model to assess the impact of testing and isolation compliance on the transmission of COVID-19
Shasha Gao, Binod Pant, C. W. Chukwu, Theophilus Kwofie, Salman Safdar, Lora Newman, Seoyun Choe, Bimal Kumar Datta, Wisdom Kwame Attipoe, Wenjing Zhang, P. van den Driessche
Abstract
and disease prevalence. Simulation reveals that only high testing volume combined with a large proportion of individuals complying with isolation have great impact on mitigating the transmission. The testing starting date is also crucial: the earlier testing is implemented, the more impact it has on reducing the infection. The results obtained here would also be helpful in developing guidelines of early control strategies for pandemics similar to COVID-19.
Topics & Concepts
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)Isolation (microbiology)Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)2019-20 coronavirus outbreakTransmission (telecommunications)Compliance (psychology)VirologyGeographyMedicineComputer sciencePsychologyTelecommunicationsBiologyInfectious disease (medical specialty)OutbreakDiseaseMicrobiologyPathologySocial psychologyCOVID-19 epidemiological studiesSARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 ResearchViral Infections and Outbreaks Research