Optimal operating strategy of hybrid heat pump − boiler systems with photovoltaics and battery storage
Francesco Nicoletti, Giuseppe Ramundo, Natale Arcuri
Abstract
The growing need to reduce energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions is driving the search for more efficient heating solutions in buildings. Hybrid heating systems, which combine air-to-water heat pumps (AWHP) with traditional gas boilers, are a common solution after refurbishment investments. However, managing these systems effectively, particularly when integrated with photovoltaic (PV) panels and battery energy storage systems (BESS), remains a complex task. For instance, heat pumps perform poorly in very cold conditions, making boilers a more efficient option; however, it might be advantageous to use it to increase electricity self-consumption. Optimal management depends on multiple factors, including future forecast data. In this paper, a daily optimization program is developed by means of a brute-force approach using forecast data. The core innovation of this paper is the use of an artificial neural network (ANN) that, trained on predictive optimization results, can determine the optimal solution in real-time without the need for future forecasts. The ANN achieved a 99.16% accuracy in new scenarios, successfully optimizing costs, CO 2 emissions, and primary energy use. Results indicate up to 19% cost savings in colder cities, a 12% reduction in CO 2 emissions, and a 3% decrease in primary energy consumption. This approach holds significant potential for enhancing the integration of renewable energy sources, contributing to long-term sustainability goals.