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Dynamic analysis of the mathematical model of COVID-19 with demographic effects

Naeem Faraz, Yasir Khan, Emile Franc Doungmo Goufo, Amna Anjum, Ali Anjum

2020Zeitschrift für Naturforschung C31 citationsDOI

Abstract

The coronavirus is currently extremely contagious for humankind, which is a zoonotic tropical disease. The pandemic is the largest in history, affecting almost the whole world. What makes the condition the worst of all is no specific effective treatment available. In this article, we present an extended and modified form of SIR and SEIR model, respectively. We begin by investigating a simple mathematical model that describes the pandemic. Then we apply different safety measures to control the pandemic situation. The mathematical model with and without control is solved by using homotopy perturbation method. Obtained solutions have been presented graphically. Finally, we develop another mathematical model, including quarantine and hospitalization.

Topics & Concepts

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)PandemicQuarantineMathematical modelEpidemic modelBasic reproduction number2019-20 coronavirus outbreakHomotopy perturbation methodCoronavirusApplied mathematicsComputer scienceMathematicsEconometricsInfectious disease (medical specialty)Mathematical economicsGeographyHomotopyStatisticsBiologyVirologyEcologyDiseaseDemographyOutbreakMedicinePopulationSociologyPure mathematicsPathologyFractional Differential Equations SolutionsCOVID-19 epidemiological studiesMathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
Dynamic analysis of the mathematical model of COVID-19 with demographic effects | Litcius