Increasing lipids with risk of worsening cardiac damage in 1595 adolescents: A 7-year longitudinal and mediation study
Andrew O. Agbaje
Abstract
Background and aimsLongitudinal evidence on the associations of changes in lipids level with changes in cardiac structure and function in youth is limited due to few repeated echocardiography measures. This study examined whether changes in lipid levels from adolescence through young adulthood associates with the risk of cardiac damage progression and potential mechanistic pathways.MethodsFrom the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (ALSPAC), UK birth cohort, 1595 adolescents aged 17 years who had fasting plasma total cholesterol, triglyceride, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-c), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-c), and non-HDL-c measured at 17- and 24-years clinic visit were included. Echocardiography measured left ventricular mass indexed for height2.7 (LVMI2.7), LV diastolic function from mitral E/A ratio (LVDF). LVMI2.7 ≥51 g/m2.7 and LVDF<1.5, were categorized as LV hypertrophy, and LVD dysfunction respectively. Multivariable adjusted associations were examined using generalized logit mixed-effect models and structural equation models from mediation analyses.ResultsThe prevalence of LV hypertrophy increased from 3.6% at baseline to 11.6% at follow-up in males and increased from 1.6% to 4.0% in females. The prevalence of LVD dysfunction increased from 7.8% at baseline to 16.6% at follow-up in males and increased from 10.3% to 15.4% in females. Each 1 mmol increment in total cholesterol (OR, 1.18; [95% CI, 1.09–1.27]), triglyceride (2.89; [1.54–5.43]), LDL-c (1.19; [1.08–1.32]), and non-HDL-c (1.21; [1.11–1.33]) was associated with higher odds of worsening LV hypertrophy progression over 7 years. Increased triglyceride was associated with the odds of progressively worsening LVD dysfunction (1.98; [1.06–3.71]). Increased HDL-c was not associated with the odds of cardiac structural and functional damage. Systolic blood pressure (12% mediation) and fat mass (25% mediation) partly mediated the associations of LDL-c with increased LVMI2.7.ConclusionsIncreased lipids may independently associate with the risk of progressively worsening structural and functional cardiac damage in youth but increased systolic blood pressure and fat mass explained circa forty percent of the relationship.