Long Term Outcomes and Durability of Fenestrated Endovascular Aneurysm Repair: A Meta-analysis of Time to Event Data
Aurélien Guéroult, A. Bashir, Bilal Azhar, James Budge, Iain Roy, Ian Loftus, Peter Holt
Abstract
This meta-analysis, which approached the literature with a broad search strategy, delivers robust long term estimates for survival, freedom from re-intervention, target vessel patency, and one year sac regression after fenestrated endovascular aneurysm repair (FEVAR).These are important to inform contemporary discussions around the durability of FEVAR and may influence future practice when counselling patients on FEVAR during the consent process.The meta-analytical technique of pooling raw, patient level time to event data, directly extracted from KaplaneMeier curves, is novel to the field of vascular surgery and to an extent enables this study to overcome challenges with study heterogeneity.Objective: Despite widespread use, long term outcomes for fenestrated endovascular aneurysm repair (FEVAR) are uncertain.This meta-analysis reports long term survival, freedom from re-intervention, target vessel patency, and one year sac regression after FEVAR.Data Sources: Systematic review and meta-analysis to pool time to event data according to PRISMA guidelines.The study was registered with the international prospective register of systematic reviews (PROSPERO) (ID: CRD42023401468).Review Methods: Medline, Embase, and Cochrane databases were searched from 1992 e 2023; articles were independently screened by two authors.Publication of complete time to event data for any outcome of interest was an inclusion criterion.Raw KaplaneMeier probabilities were directly extracted from published curves and pooled by random effects.Risk of bias was assessed using ROBINS I and certainty with GRADE.Results: A total of 3 569 records were retrieved, 2 869 screened after duplicate removal, yielding 37 included studies (n 4 371).The pooled mean age was 73.2 years (interquartile range [IQR] 72.2, 73.7) and 87.4% were male (95% confidence interval [CI] 85.8 e 88.9).Pooled KaplaneMeier estimated probabilities of survival (n 34 studies, n 4 192 patients) at one, three, and five years were 91.6% (95% CI 90.2 e 92.9), 80.8% (95% CI 78.0 e 83.2), and 65.1% (95% CI 60.9 e 69.1).For freedom from re-intervention (n 24, n 3 211 patients) at one, three, and five years these were 90.2% (95% CI 87.3 e 92.7), 80.9% (95% CI 76.5 e 84.9), and 73.8% (95% CI 67.1 e 79.6).For target vessel patency (n 13, n 5805 target vessels) at one, three, and five years, these were 96.6% (95% CI 94.9 e 98.0), 94.5% (95% CI 91.7 e 96.7), and 93.1% (95% CI 89.3 e 96.0).Pooled estimate of sac regression (n 8, n 560) at one year was 40.2% (95% CI 28.9 e 52.7).Risk of bias was judged as moderate in 11 studies and low for the remaining 26.Conclusion: There are moderate to low certainty data supporting reasonable long term outcome estimates following fenestrated endovascular aneurysm repair.Beyond five years there is a lack of data in the literature.