Litcius/Paper detail

Estimation of global coastal sea level extremes using neural networks

Nicolas Bruneau, Jeff A. Polton, Joanne Williams, Jason Holt

2020Environmental Research Letters62 citationsDOIOpen Access PDF

Abstract

Accurately predicting total sea-level including tides and storm surges is key to protecting and managing our coastal environment. However, dynamically forecasting sea level extremes is computationally expensive. Here a novel alternative based on ensembles of artificial neural networks independently trained at over 600 tide gauges around the world, is used to predict the total sea-level based on tidal harmonics and atmospheric conditions at each site. The results show globally-consistent high skill of the neural networks (NNs) to capture the sea variability at gauges around the globe.

Topics & Concepts

Tide gaugeStorm surgeArtificial neural networkEnvironmental scienceResilience (materials science)Probabilistic logicMeteorologyComputer scienceClimatologyStormSea levelOceanographyMachine learningGeologyGeographyArtificial intelligenceThermodynamicsPhysicsOceanographic and Atmospheric ProcessesHydrological Forecasting Using AITropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research