Estimation of global coastal sea level extremes using neural networks
Nicolas Bruneau, Jeff A. Polton, Joanne Williams, Jason Holt
Abstract
Accurately predicting total sea-level including tides and storm surges is key to protecting and managing our coastal environment. However, dynamically forecasting sea level extremes is computationally expensive. Here a novel alternative based on ensembles of artificial neural networks independently trained at over 600 tide gauges around the world, is used to predict the total sea-level based on tidal harmonics and atmospheric conditions at each site. The results show globally-consistent high skill of the neural networks (NNs) to capture the sea variability at gauges around the globe.
Topics & Concepts
Tide gaugeStorm surgeArtificial neural networkEnvironmental scienceResilience (materials science)Probabilistic logicMeteorologyComputer scienceClimatologyStormSea levelOceanographyMachine learningGeologyGeographyArtificial intelligenceThermodynamicsPhysicsOceanographic and Atmospheric ProcessesHydrological Forecasting Using AITropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research