Observed Acceleration of Cascading Outages
Matthias Noebels, Ian Dobson, Mathaios Panteli
Abstract
Accounts of extreme power outages of transmission systems suggest the acceleration of cascading outage propagation over time and the splitting of the cascade into a slow phase and a subsequent fast phase. This is significant to network operators, as mitigation actions, such as load shedding, can only be effectively applied during the slow phase. During the fast phase, the network disintegrates too quickly for any manual intervention. To supplement the accounts of extreme outages, we describe the observed acceleration of smaller and more common cascading outages by analyzing transmission outage data published by one North American utility. Our results show that these common cascades accelerate much less than the extreme cascades. This justifies ongoing research in mitigation strategies.