Verification of a real-time ensemble-based method for updating earth model based on GAN
Kristian Fossum, Sergey Alyaev, Jan Tveranger, Ahmed H. Elsheikh
Abstract
The complexity of geomodelling workflows is a limiting factor for quantifying and updating uncertainty in real-time during drilling. We propose Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) for parametrization and generation of geomodels, combined with Ensemble Randomized Maximum Likelihood (EnRML) for rapid updating of subsurface uncertainty. This real-time ensemble method is known to be approximate for non-linear forward models and might therefore produce inaccurate and/or biased posterior solutions when combined with a highly non-linear model arising from the neural-network modeling sequences. This paper illustrates the predictive ability of EnRML on several examples where we assimilate local extra-deep electromagnetic logs. Statistical verification with MCMC confirms that the proposed workflow can produce reliable results required for geosteering wells.