Country-level factors associated with the early spread of COVID-19 cases at 5, 10 and 15 days since the onset
Kasim Allel, Thamara Tapia‐Muñoz, Walter Morris
Abstract
= 134 countries). Drawing on negative binomial multivariate regression models, HDI, healthcare expenditure and resources, and the variation in the measures taken by the governments, significantly predicted the incidence risk ratios of COVID-19 cases at the three time points. The estimates were robust to different modelling techniques and specifications. Although wealthier countries have elevated human development and healthcare capacity in respect to their counterparts (low- and middle-income countries) the early implementation of effective and incremental measures taken by the governments are crucial to controlling the spread of COVID-19 in the early weeks.
Topics & Concepts
Socioeconomic statusPandemicCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)Government (linguistics)DemographyNegative binomial distributionHealth careDemographic economicsGeographySocioeconomicsDevelopment economicsEnvironmental healthMedicineEconomic growthPopulationEconomicsDiseaseStatisticsPhilosophyPoisson distributionSociologyPathologyLinguisticsMathematicsInfectious disease (medical specialty)COVID-19 epidemiological studiesCOVID-19 Pandemic ImpactsCOVID-19 Clinical Research Studies