The Signal-to-Noise Paradox in Climate Forecasts: Revisiting Our Understanding and Identifying Future Priorities
Antje Weisheimer, Laura Baker, Jochen Bröcker, Chaim I. Garfinkel, Steven C. Hardiman, Dan Hodson, T. N. Palmer, Jon Robson, Adam A. Scaife, James A. Screen, Theodore G. Shepherd, Doug Smith, Rowan Sutton
Abstract
Nearly 40 participants from universities (Oxford, Reading, Exeter, Leeds, Lincoln), the National Centre for Atmospheric Science (NCAS) and operational forecasting centers (Met Office, ECMWF) in the UK as well as from the Hebrew University in Jerusalem and NCAR in Boulder gathered - primarily in person - to discuss our current understanding of the so-called signal-to-noise paradox in climate forecasts and develop ideas to resolve it.
Topics & Concepts
LicenseAttributionNoise (video)MeteorologyComputer sciencePolitical scienceHistoryGeographyPsychologyLawArtificial intelligenceSocial psychologyImage (mathematics)Wind and Air Flow StudiesProbabilistic and Robust Engineering DesignClimate variability and models