Spatiotemporal overlapping of dengue, chikungunya, and malaria infections in children in Kenya
Aslam Khan, Donal Bisanzio, Francis Mutuku, Bryson Ndenga, Elysse N. Grossi-Soyster, Zainab Jembe, Priscilla Maina, Philip Chebii, Charles Ronga, Victoria Okuta, A. Desirée LaBeaud
Abstract
Malaria, chikungunya virus (CHIKV), and dengue virus (DENV) are endemic causes of fever among children in Kenya. The risks of infection are multifactorial and may be influenced by built and social environments. The high resolution overlapping of these diseases and factors affecting their spatial heterogeneity has not been investigated in Kenya. From 2014-2018, we prospectively followed a cohort of children from four communities in both coastal and western Kenya. Overall, 9.8% were CHIKV seropositive, 5.5% were DENV seropositive, and 39.1% were malaria positive (3521 children tested). The spatial analysis identified hot-spots for all three diseases in each site and in multiple years. The results of the model showed that the risk of exposure was linked to demographics with common factors for the three diseases including the presence of litter, crowded households, and higher wealth in these communities. These insights are of high importance to improve surveillance and targeted control of mosquito-borne diseases in Kenya.