Debiased Uncertainty Quantification Approach for Probabilistic Transient Stability Assessment

Abstract

System instability does not occur often in practice and thus the historical data for training a machine learning method has to address the imbalanced and multi-modal probabilistic distribution in the probabilistic transient stability assessment (PTSA). This letter proposes a transient stability index (TSI) density-based weighting scheme and feature-TSI similarity regularization to address that, yielding debiased uncertainty quantification for PTSA in the presence of uncertain wind generations and loads. Numerical results on the IEEE 39-bus and Illinois 200-bus power systems demonstrate the significantly improved performance of the proposed method over other state-of-the-art machine learning approaches in PTSA.

Topics & Concepts