Atmospheric Warming Drives Growth in Arctic Sea Ice: A Key Role for Snow
Arash Bigdeli, An T. Nguyen, Helen Pillar, Víctor Ocaña, Patrick Heimbach
Abstract
A number of feedbacks regulate the response of Arctic sea ice to local atmospheric warming. Using a realistic coupled ocean-sea ice model and its adjoint, we isolate a mechanism by which significant ice growth at the end of the melt season may occur as a lagged response to Arctic atmospheric warming. A series of perturbation simulations informed by adjoint model-derived sensitivity patterns reveal the enhanced ice growth to be accompanied by a reduction of snow thickness on the ice pack. Detailed analysis of ocean-ice-snow heat budgets confirms the essential role of the reduced snow thickness for persistence and delayed overshoot of ice growth. The underlying mechanism is a snow-melt-conductivity feedback, wherein atmosphere-driven snow melt leads to a larger conductive ocean heat loss through the overlying ice layer. Our results highlight the need for accurate observations of snow thickness to constrain climate models and to initialize sea ice forecasts.