Long-term risk of cardiovascular mortality according to age group and blood pressure categories of the latest guideline
Michihiro Satoh, Takayoshi Ohkubo, Katsuyuki Miura, Akiko Harada, Anna Tsutsui, Atsushi Hozawa, Yūji Shimizu, Shizukiyo Ishikawa, Yoshihiro Kokubo, Tomonori Okamura, Yoshitaka Murakami
Abstract
This study examined the association between the latest blood pressure (BP) classification and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality risk, using data from 70,570 individuals across 10 Japanese cohorts. Participants were stratified by age (40-64 and 65-89 years) and antihypertensive treatment use. BP was classified according to the 2019 Japanese Society of Hypertension Guidelines. During a follow-up period of approximately 10 years, 2304 CVD deaths occurred. Cox models demonstrated that CVD mortality risk increased stepwise with the BP category, with this association being especially pronounced in patients aged 40-64 years, where the Grade I hypertension group showed the highest population-attributable fraction (PAF). When the treated participants were included in the hypertension group, the overall PAF for CVD mortality was 41.1%. Similar patterns were observed for CVD subtype mortality risk, with hypertension showing particularly high PAFs for intracerebral hemorrhage. These findings highlight the importance of early-stage prevention and management of hypertension.